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Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center in Miami said that as of 11 a.m. Friday, the forecast showed the storm hitting the state Monday. The forecast path has Erika skirting the state's Gulf Coast and then moving up Florida's spine north of Tampa.
The next 24 hours will be critical in the storm's development, hurricane center meteorologist James Franklin said.
"The trend is for a gradual lessening," he said. "Yesterday we were talking about a hurricane; today we're talking about a tropical storm."
There's still uncertainty in the track because Hispaniola's mountains could disrupt or break up the storm. And it is too early to tell whether the storm will bring flooding to areas of the Tampa Bay region that experienced problems in recent weeks due to heavy rain, Hurricane center spokesman Dennis Feltgen said......................
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