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Ukraine crisis. News in brief. Saturday 7 January. [Ukrainian sources]

on Sat Jan 07, 2017 8:00 am
SATURDAY

Please scroll to view news items added during the day.

NEWS:
Trump officially recognizes Russia's role in U.S. cyber attacks.  At the Pentagon confirmed that Russia has done nothing to combat IDIL in Syria.  From the US to Germany arrived in military equipment to Poland and the Baltic States.  Patriarch Filaret explained why trust Ukrainian army. Special forces of Germany have discovered signs of involvement in cyber attacks on the Russian Federation to the OSCE last year.

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Trump officially recognizes Russia's role in U.S. cyber attacks

on Sat Jan 07, 2017 8:02 am
Trump officially recognizes Russia's role in U.S. cyber attacks

President-elect Donald Trump has acknowledged the involvement of the Russian Federation in cyber attacks on U.S. infrastructure but does not believe that these attacks had an effect on the outcome of the election.

"While Russia, China, other countries, outside groups and people are consistently trying to break through the cyber infrastructure of our governmental institutions, businesses and organizations including the Democrat National Committee, there was absolutely no effect on the outcome of the election including the fact that there was no tampering whatsoever with voting machines. There were attempts to hack the Republican National Committee, but the RNC had strong hacking defenses and the hackers were unsuccessful," he said in a statement at the conclusion of the meeting with Intelligence Community leaders............

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At the Pentagon confirmed that Russia has done nothing to combat IDIL in Syria

on Sat Jan 07, 2017 8:04 am
At the Pentagon confirmed that Russia has done nothing to combat IDIL in Syria

Russia for its actions in Syria only exacerbated the war between Assad's forces and opposition

Russia did nothing to help defeat "Islamic state" in Syria and has adopted a strategy that "clearly prevents the United States" in other countries.

This opinion was US Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter expressed in an interview with WSJ.

"I think it's part of his (Putin - Ed.) Self-image. One of the factors which it measures the success of its policies, is not that what results it achieves on earth, and what level it creates discomfort for the rest of the world "- said Carter.

It also explicitly stated that the Russian military, which in recent months to assume an increasingly active role in supporting Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, were inactive in the fight against IDIL.

"They have done nothing to combat" Islamic state. " They struggle against the conservative opposition with the government of Syria. All they did was wrong and just the opposite of what they promised, "- said Carter.

The Russian government also fulfilled a promise to use their positions in Syria to "ease the transition" from the Assad government to a broader government that would include at moderate opposition.

"They did not, they did not contribute to the transition. They just stepped twice a civil war "- summed Carter.

January 6 it was reported that the Defense Ministry has begun to reduce group of troops in Syria in accordance with the decision of Russian President Vladimir Putin's first aircraft carrier will leave the conflict zone Russian Navy group led by aircraft carrier "Admiral Kuznetsov".

glavcom.ua , In Ukrainian / на українській мові


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Patriarch Filaret explained why trust Ukrainian army

on Sat Jan 07, 2017 8:08 am
Patriarch Filaret explained why trust Ukrainian army



"There will be a local church, and the church will be peace. Because the state will. The process of unification has already begun,"- said the head of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church Kiev Patriarchate Filaret

In the context of the current war in Donbas Patriarch of Kyiv and All Rus-Ukraine said that in addition to churches, high confidence in the Ukrainian army also uses.

"Why trust the army? And because they see that the army is the Ukrainian people", - said the head of the UOC-KP.

Patriarch congratulated all Ukrainian people of Christmas: "Congratulations to our usual greeting. Christ was born! Glorify Him!"



glavcom.ua , In Ukrainian / на українській мові


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From the US to Germany arrived in military equipment to Poland and the Baltic States

on Sat Jan 07, 2017 8:10 am
From the US to Germany arrived in military equipment to Poland and the Baltic States

United States sent military equipment to Europe to deter possible aggression from Russia

In Germany arrived American tanks, self-propelled howitzers and other military vehicles that will be delivered to Poland and the Baltic states to deter possible aggression from Russia. It is reported by the BBC.

According to the publication, is the largest sending American armored brigade in Europe since the end of the Cold War. In the coming days, military equipment will be transported to the places of deployment in Poland and the Baltic States.

In addition, Germany will arrive 3,5 thousand. US military.

Also, the United States, Britain, Germany and Canada will direct this year in Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Poland four battalions - one in each country - a total of 4 thousand. People.

"Placing NATO in Eastern Europe - Program of the North Atlantic Alliance, which aims to deter possible aggression from Russia," - said in a statement.

glavcom.ua, In Ukrainian / на українській мові


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Special forces of Germany have discovered signs of involvement in cyber attacks from the Russian Federation on the OSCE last year

on Sat Jan 07, 2017 8:14 am
Special forces of Germany have discovered signs of involvement in cyber attacks from the Russian Federation on the OSCE last year

The analysis for the mentioned attacks used the same infrastructure as for attacks on the Bundestag

Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution of Germany showed signs of involvement in cyber attacks on computers of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE). Reported DW referring to agency dpa.

"Our analysis showed that the attack used the same infrastructure as other cyber attacks related to campaign attacks APT28, whose purpose was also the year before the Bundestag," - said the head of the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution of Germany Hans-Georg Maassen lends .

According to him, there is evidence indicating that these attacks could be from Russian source. Instead, Russia rejects accusations of cyber attacks.

ua.112.ua , In Ukrainian / на українській мові


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In Syria, on the border with Turkey thundered powerful explosion, more than fifty victims

on Sat Jan 07, 2017 8:43 am
In Syria, on the border with Turkey thundered powerful explosion, more than fifty victims



In northern Syrian town of Azaz in the explosion, the victims of which were dozens of people.

This was informed " RIA Novosti " referring to the local TV channels.

In the village, which is located near the Turkish border, exploded a car bomb.

Initially it was reported that as a result of events killed 25 people and more than 10 injured.

At 14:15 it was reported that the number of victims near the Syrian province of Aleppo has grown to 60 people.

As reported by the "Observer", January 2, Pakistan exploded in Quetta in the south-west. The explosion six security officials were injured.

ukr.obozrevatel.com , In Ukrainian / на українській мові


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In Trump's very bad attitude to Ukrainian "elite" and encroached on a deal with Russia - Ponomarev

on Sat Jan 07, 2017 9:21 am
In Trump's very bad attitude to Ukrainian "elite" and encroached on a deal with Russia - Ponomarev

The team of the future US president, Donald Trump does not consider Ukraine a significant factor in international politics, very bad attitude to Ukrainian "elite" and want to negotiate with Russia.

About this in a blog for the "Observer" wrote former State Duma deputy Ilya Ponomarev.

He said the priority of the new administration in general and Syria is fighting Islamic terrorism. The agreement with Russia need to war in Donbas and Crimea annexation did not distract them from solution, from their point of view, really important issue, says Ponomarev.

However, he said in Washington there are people who try to explain the importance of the Ukrainian question.

"Some of the new team understands it, most - no. So there need simultaneous efforts by the light forces, Ukrainian diplomacy could be more active, smart and pragmatic in this area and not to create new lines of tension, such as voting on Israel "- said Ponomarev.

Despite this, he looks at the destination is going to Washington "more optimistic".

"Contrary to media speculation (mostly just because vnutrishnovashynhtonskoyi struggle) there are no" friends of Putin "no. There are hawks and supporters of" realpolitik ", but sympathizers Russia Michael McFaul type the Obama administration to Trump and does not smell" - said the politician.

As reported by the "Observer", Trump again issued a Gift to Putin.

ukr.obozrevatel.com, In Ukrainian / на українській мові



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No way Putin can write off Ukraine. In 2017, Putin will try to tempt Trump

on Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:27 am
No way Putin can write off Ukraine. In 2017, Putin will try to tempt Trump

In 2017, Putin will try to tempt Trump into establishing a union, proposing an ephemeral agenda to the US president and, as payment for the union, wringing a free hand for himself on the post-Soviet space. However, such plans are doomed to fail, the Russian-based opposition member Andrej Piontkovski says, Politolog reports Jan. 7.

Congress’ first reaction shows that Trump will be forced to heed it. Congress members have clearly indicated that they would address the issue of sanctions if Trump dared to cancel some. Donald Trump may cancel Obama’s decrees, not the laws passed by the Congress, Piontkovski says. 

No way Putin can write off Ukraine. Ukrainians are able to stand up for themselves and repulse Putin’s aggression.

That is why any further Russian aggression will met with resolute opposition by Ukraine. And Ukraine’s major guarantee is the readiness of Ukrainians to defend themselves, not Trump’s changing moods.

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Like Crimea, ‘Trump is Ours,’ Russian products proclaim and other neglected Russian stories

on Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:30 am
Like Crimea, ‘Trump is Ours,’ Russian products proclaim and other neglected Russian stories

The flood of news stories from a country as large, diverse and strange as the Russian Federation often appears to be is far too large for anyone to keep up with. But there needs to be a way to mark those which can’t be discussed in detail but which are too indicative of broader developments to ignore.

Consequently, Windows on Eurasia presents a selection of 13 of these other and typically neglected stories at the end of each week. This is the 65th such compilation. It is only suggestive and far from complete – indeed, once again, one could have put out such a listing every day — but perhaps one or more of these stories will prove of broader interest.

1. For Russians, Putin Fills the Role of Trump and Brexit Taken Together, Lukyanov Says
Fyodor Lukyanov, a leading Russian foreign policy specialist, says the anti-government populist wave sweeping the West would come to Russia as well were it not for the fact that Vladimir Putin fills the role of “Trump and Brexit combined.” Thus, Russians support him even though they distrust or even hate their government in general.

But Putin did not get all good news this week. Some commentators criticized him for his selective approach to sending New Year’s greetings to foreign leaders, and many said they were disappointed in his message to the Russian people in advance of the holiday.

Other writers suggested that under Putin, Russia had become a zero sum game, one in which what’s good for Putin is bad for Russia because of all the harm he has done to the economy and to Russia’s standing with decent people around the world. And the Kremlin leader may have been unhappy with two other reports this week: one showing that paranoid projection is the proper basis for understanding Putin and Putinism and a second finding that when Russians turn to Yandex and search under the letter “p” they are not prompted to look at materials about Putin................

Access complete text of the editorial:  euromaidanpress.com In English


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Baltic news agency attacked by hackers

on Sat Jan 07, 2017 12:46 pm
Baltic news agency attacked by hackers



BNS is not informed who is suspected of kiberatatsi

Great news agency BNS Baltic subjected kiberatatsi, which resulted in disrupted service for about 10 hours.

It is reported by AP.

«Baltic News Service reported that hackers have attacked the servers BNS network around 14.00 on Friday," - said in a statement.

The newspaper said the agency could restore the system around midnight the same day, and on Saturday all services are functioning again.

As noted, BNS reported not who is suspected of kiberatatsi.

The newspaper reminds that the agency BNS located in Tallinn and prepare news from Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania languages ​​of these countries, as well as English and Russian.

Recall that the German security services said that cyber attacks on the OSCE could be made from.

glavcom.ua , In Ukrainian / на українській мові


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Trump expects respect from Russia

on Sat Jan 07, 2017 2:27 pm
Trump expects respect from Russia

US President-elect Donald Trump spoke about the future of relations with Russia in his administration.

This is Donald Trump wrote on his own Twitter-account.



According elected US President, good relations with Russia is "a good thing", pointing out that not only understands this "stupid" people or stupid. "

Donald Trump is confident that under his administration, Russia will show more respect for the United States than it is now.

Also newly elected US president suggested the possibility of joint work in these countries over the decision of some major global problems.

Recall that the January 20 inauguration ceremony of Donald Trump as president of the United States.

As reported, "Apostrophe", before it became known about Donald Trump recognition of Russia's interference in the presidential election in the US.

apostrophe.ua , In Ukrainian / на українській мові


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In Turkey detained Russians, who planned to join ISIL

on Sat Jan 07, 2017 2:30 pm
In Turkey detained Russians, who planned to join ISIL

Turkish security services have detained the country a group of Russians who were sent to Syria to take part in an armed conflict on the side of a terrorist organization ISIL.

It is reported Russian newspaper RBC.

4 detainees were natives of Chechnya, which forged documents were trying to cross the territory of Turkey.

Suspects arrested in southeastern Turkey in the province of Mersin. It is reported that a group of Chechens had planned to join the terrorist organization "Islamic State".

Earlier, Russian authorities confirmed the involvement of its citizens in the Syrian conflict on the side ISIL. It is noted that most of them are natives of Chechnya.

As reported, "Apostrophe" before Iraqi forces managed to take control of the strategically important area of the city of Mosul.

apostrophe.ua , In Ukrainian / на українській мові


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Putin is at a critical point - a private US intelligence

on Sat Jan 07, 2017 2:49 pm
Putin is at a critical point - a private US intelligence

The analysts of Stratfor told why Putin needs a law on the Russian nation

Russian President Vladimir Putin throughout his nearly 17-year rule was looking for a common thread that bound all and would dampen dissent directed against him. In 2012, he formed a committee to discuss the social and national policy to determine what it means to be Russian. The committees failed to reach consensus and exhausted. Recently, Russian President decided to resume these efforts and 31 October supported the creation of the law of the Russian nation . As they say experts private US intelligence-analysis company Stratfor, this was a critical moment for Putin when he was faced with growing internal pressure and escalation of problems abroad.

deepening rift
Russian stereotype - is Orthodox, ethnic Russian man. This definition however excludes large parts of the population. For example, the Muslim population of Russia has reached 13% of all people in the country this year, and is expected to increase this percentage. Even a group of Orthodox Slavs and includes many sub-divisions. These divisions are becoming deeper. The nation is in the midst of generations. Today 27% of Russians were born after the collapse of the Soviet Union. They even unstable 1990s is difficult to recall. This is particularly problematic for Putin, whose power is based on the fact that he suppressed the chaos.

The rising generation is divided into three camps: liberals, politically apathetic and ultra-nationalists. The last camp is anti-Muslim and advocates hiperahresyvnu foreign policy. And among all age groups, class differences are amplified against the backdrop of increasing poverty caused by the prolonged economic downturn. It also undermines the power of Putin, which is based on promises of economic prosperity. Revolution and the stalemate in Ukraine also questioned the president's promise about the increasing global influence.

The Kremlin is well aware of this growing division and becoming increasingly paranoid about the resistance and instability. The government took draconian laws prohibiting protests or speeches criticizing the government. And all this happens on the eve of 99th anniversary of the Bolshevik Revolution, which comes a week. The Security Council has already feverishly preparing for the centennial anniversary next year and has established a center for development approved historical narrative, which will follow the media and schools. This official story is probably zamne overthrow the king and emphasize the stability of the Soviet system, which followed the assassination of the royal family.

Old methods
However, the control value of the October revolution is only part of the strategy. Kremlin desire to unite identity - and a second term component. This desire had a long history. Kings shaking on how to strengthen the unity. The most popular tactic was simply to eliminate completely diversity. Russification has used brute force to force minorities to hide their identity and take the Russian language, culture and faith. In the mid-19th century Emperor Nicholas I offered to replace Russification new ideology, whose motto would triad: Autocracy, Nationality, Orthodoxy. This meant that anyone who supports at least one of the principles could consider themselves Russian. This softer approach but did not work because of conflicts over whether an item should adhere to the triad.

At least at first glance, the Soviet attempt to unite the nation was more successful. Were rejected by ethnic and religious differences, while focusing on unity within the same class. The model was called "matryoshka" - a metaphor for the layers of the Soviet identity. The concept of abandoning the central role of ethnic Russians in the imperial system and tried to cancel all political, national, class, gender and ethnic barriers.

The key point of this system was a common enemy and a contender for global domination - United States. In the face of the enemy were all equal in the preservation and glorification of the Soviet Union. The tension of the Cold War was one of the main reasons due to which Moscow managed to maintain a single Soviet identity over seven decades. But in the end, the energy that was necessary to impose an appropriate system of beliefs such a big nation, led to the collapse of the system.

Now Putin inherited the problem of unity. The current president wants more than an idea, it needs an effective ideology, which he can realize the political and cultural levels. In recent years, for example, the Kremlin has managed to mobilize a strong sense of patriotism. With coarse propaganda Moscow used the confrontation with the United States to rally nationalist passions in against a common enemy.

After Russia failed to prevent revolution in Ukraine, she made Crimea source of pride for the Russian people and strengthened this feeling annexation of the peninsula. Russia also used its intervention in the conflict in Syria as a moral crusade against "Islamic state", given the likely failure of the United States. Authorities fear warmed Russians that the US attempt to defeat Russia. The Kremlin even revived fears of a third world war and nuclear conflict. Where The West accuses Russia of aggressive foreign policy, Moscow portrays his actions as heroic defense down, response to US actions or justified response to aggression.

But it is difficult to maintain unity under the guise of patriotism and revived Cold War. The aggressive foreign policy of Putin quickly depletes the financial reserves of undermining the military and political resources. And rhetoric also depends on the outcome of difficult international conflicts and unanticipated actions of competitors. Moreover, patriotism has its ups and downs and, eventually, can not overcome a much deeper problems that Russian citizens face daily. Putin, like kings, and party leaders before him, will continue attempts to define and unite the nation.

apostrophe.ua, In Ukrainian / на українській мові


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Far-right Le Pen: Ukrainians need to know about the pro-Kremlin candidate for the French presidency

on Sat Jan 07, 2017 3:05 pm
Far-right Le Pen: Ukrainians need to know about the pro-Kremlin candidate for the French presidency

Marine Le Pen does not believe the annexation of Crimea illegal, in favor of rejection of the euro and the French withdrawal from the EU, the friendship with Russia and the application of Putin's policies. At the same time it has a real chance to become president.


Jean-Marie Le Pen has quarreled with her daughter because of her anti-Semitic remarks. Her party membership was suspended. Le Pen senior said that she was ashamed that her daughter's surname

Le Pen herself came to politics in 18 years, joining the party of her father. Since 2004 was a member of the European Parliament, and in 2015 headed a fraction "of Putin's friends", which included its "National Front", the ultra-right "Freedom Party" from the Netherlands, the Italian "League of the North", "Austrian Freedom Party" and the Belgian " Vlaams Belang. By 2011 th Marine Le Pen has become the head of the "National front".

A year later, Le Pen announced his candidacy for president, finishing third in the first round with 17.9% support (- 27.18%, from Nicolas Sarkozy at the current President Francois Hollande was 28.63%). Even then, she claimed to withdraw France from NATO and the EU, calling for deepening cooperation with Russia.
In the municipal elections in March 2014, "National Front" received 7% of the vote, in third place vybivshis. But the regional elections a year later, the party has not brought the expected results Le Pen, though opinion polls and given to candidates from the "National Front" more than 50% support. "National Front" lost in all regions. According to the most Le Pen, her party lost due to a large-scale black PR campaign, which unfolded against the "National Front" opponents. She was accused of inciting ethnic hatred and propaganda of a terrorist organization "Islamic State." French experts say that a significant blow to the reputation of Le Pen and her party, the fact that it financed the regional campaign, including Russia.

" Marine Le Pen received € 9 million loan in Russia (in 2014," National Front "received a loan from the First Czech-Russian Bank - Ed.) Everyone knows it, even though it was designed by the Czech-Russian Bank.", - He stated Chairman of the Mejlis of the Crimean Tatar people, MP Refat Chubarov from BPP.

In his opinion, the statements of Le Pen of the supposedly "legitimate annexation of Crimea" must be treated as bought Russian opinion. Chubarov said that, despite the allegations of the legality of the actions of Russia in the Crimea, the French politician used the word "annexation", meaning the forcible annexation, so the phrase "fair annexation" - at least, strange.

Top 5 most colorful and controversial quotes Marine Le Pen

About Crimea: "I absolutely do not believe that there was an illegal annexation: there was a referendum, the people wanted to join the Crimea to Russia."

On the euro , "Where is the euro, where prices rose, and unemployment taxes, reduced wages and pensions, and the citizens have become poorer in the UK, where the financial was created. Crisis , have begun to devaluation of the pound sterling, and soon began again economic growth."

On the EU and NATO: "Frexit (. By analogy with BREXIT - Ed) will be part of my policy people should be able to vote for the liberation from slavery and blackmail by the technocrats in Brussels and the return of the country's sovereignty, France will not remain in NATO He was... created when there was a threat of the Warsaw Pact and the expansion of the communist Soviet Union. Soviet Union is no more, and no Warsaw Pact. Washington's support for NATO's existence to serve its goals in Europe. "

On Russia: "There is no reason to be afraid We have friends in Russia, and we have a very long relationship, and historically they are based on friendship Russia European country with which the wiser to negotiate and conclude an agreement on cooperation..."

On Putin: "For me, the model advocated by Putin - is a reasonable protection, providing care for the interests of his country, defending its unity, and this model is correct when applied to my home in France."


Experts believe that such statements Marine Le Pen of the Crimea addressed, above all, Russia. In February last year, she turned to the Kremlin for another loan in the amount of 27 million euros for the presidential campaign. But her request was never satisfied. Moreover, the Russian Deposit Insurance Agency has filed a lawsuit with the requirement to repay the bankrupt "the First Czech-Russian Bank" loan Marine Le Pen to 9 million euros. Now, Marine Le Pen, statements about the Crimea, as it hints at the Kremlin the next loan, because the French "Front National" refuse to lend. "No French bank did not agree to give me credit for conducting the election campaign", - he said the other day Le Pen, calling it a "political gesture by the French financial institutions." In this case, according to her, her party was forced to seek funding outside of France. To do this, she went to several banks in Europe, the US and Russia.
While the "National Front" solves its financial problems, the Security Service has sent a letter to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs with the request to ban the entry of Marine Le Pen in Ukraine for its statements about the Crimea. Ministry of Foreign Affairs has warned Le Pen, her such statements will have an impact.

"Ukraine's Foreign Ministry expresses its indignation at the fact that one of the candidates for the election campaign in France, Marine Le Pen allowed herself statements in support of a temporary occupation and attempted annexation of Russian Autonomous Republic of Crimea and Sevastopol. Making statements that are the same Kremlin propaganda, the French politician shows lack of respect for the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine and completely ignores the fundamental principles of international law. in this regard, we recall that such statements and actions in violation of the Ukrainian legislation, will certainly have an impact, as it did in the case of certain French politicians, who are banned entry to Ukraine", - said in a statement the Foreign Ministry of Ukraine.

Meanwhile, MPs from the parliamentary friendship group France-Ukraine in an interview with
"Segodnya.ua" supported the idea of ​​the Security Service.

"I believe that it is absolutely adequate, because all you need to join Germany on this logic, France, if we talk about the history and those are all things that she described. This policy, which is an absolute puppet of the Kremlin and the application makes a shout . I think the Kremlin, it is absolutely normal position (SBU - Ed.) if we do (prohibit entry of Le Pen in Ukraine - Ed.) ", - said" Segodnya.ua "member of the deputy group BP on interparliamentary relations with France , People's Deputy from BPP Oksana Yurinets.

Member of the Parliamentary Committee on Foreign Affairs, People's Deputy from BPP Vladimir Aryev fully shares the view Oksana Yurinets. "What it says on the recognition of the so-called referendum in Crimea, in the same way we can talk about the recognition of the so-called referendum on the territory of Alsace, which was carried out Nazi Germany . And by this logic, it turns out that Alsace and Lorraine belong to Germany. I think . that in the modern world kind of logic is simply crime and the spread of such things, in principle, should have a certain response from the consequences of criminal actions of Hitler, who conducted the referendum in Alsace, we know, "- said" Segodnya.ua "Aryev.

Yet, according to some Ukrainian experts and deputies of the Ukrainian authorities is to establish relations with the opposition to the current far-right French government politicians, as they are leading in the presidential election race . To not work as a US presidential election, when Ukraine put on Hillary Clinton's victory, and won Donald Trump. According to the latest opinion polls, the leader of the French right-wing and centrist former prime minister Francois Fillon in the second round of presidential elections will bypass the leader of the "National Front" Marine Le Pen. For Fillon ready to vote 26% for Le Pen - 24%.

Although Fillon and to a lesser extent than Marine Le Pen, but the pro-Russian politician . And, as before, "Segodnya.ua" wrote France - negotiator in "Norman format" and from the presidential election outcome will depend on who will represent France at the negotiating table in Ukraine. In the event of coming to power Fillon Le Pen or replace the current Foreign Minister Jean-Marc Ayrault could come the same pro-Russian diplomat, who will sing to the tune of the Kremlin. On the other hand, the French experts and analysts do not exclude that Marine Le Pen could suffer the same fate as that of the regional elections, when polls gave her sky-high ratings, and in the second round of her party suffered a crushing defeat.

segodnya.ua , In Russian / На русском


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Russia is planning a large-scale overland offensive against Ukraine?

on Sat Jan 07, 2017 3:22 pm
Russia is planning a large-scale overland offensive against Ukraine?

While Russian President Vladimir Putin conducts a conversation about the world, several leading Russian analysts explicitly supported "Syrian option" towards Ukraine

Recent evidence suggests that Russia may be planning a major ground operation against Ukraine. While Russian President Vladimir Putin conducts a conversation about the world, several leading Russian analysts explicitly supported "Syrian option" with regard to Ukraine.

Do they speak for themselves, or acting on behalf of the regime, vbrasyvaya trial "balloons" to test the people's opinion and the way overseas, having received a response to the possibility of all-out war? In democratic countries, private analysts generally say on his own behalf. In authoritarian, totalitarian and fascist regimes, senior analysts often speak on behalf of the leader, though unofficially, thereby giving him the opportunity to deny it.

December 20 senior expert of the Center for Military-Political Studies of the prestigious Moscow State Institute of International Relations , Mikhail Aleksandrov said that if the Ukrainian military massively violate ceasefire in the eastern Donbass, Russia must respond "massive attack army of Donbass" - referring to the 35 thousand heavily armed Russian and pro-Russian militants in the Donetsk and Lugansk regions - "with the support of our aircraft and long-range systems: that is, our missile systems, cruise missiles, as well as the" Iskander".

On December 27, a popular television program "An Evening with Vladimir Solovyov," was Alexander Kofman, former "Minister of Foreign Affairs of the" so-called DNI, and Rostislav Ishchenko, former Ukrainian journalist who defected to Russia. The three of them discussed how Russia and supported by its militants should seize the cities of Ukraine.

Ishchenko suggested that Russia should be careful, sending its ground troops in major cities of Ukraine: "What if those idiots" - Ukrainians - "go on the defensive in the big cities Shall we then send infantry to kill them then? It would be a huge loss for the Russian army."

In response, Solovyov said: "We have taken Aleppo pretty quickly and there we learned to solve the problem so that more of the army." DNI "has learned to fight in cities is no need to worry about the people of Ukraine will not fight for them." - Referring to the democratic government in Kiev.

Kofman is equally optimistic about the chances of the Russian army, "I know that as soon as our troops are close to any city, the Ukrainian army has always leaves it's a fact.".

Finally, on December 29 , Mikhail Khazin , Russian economist , broadcaster, columnist, and former member of the presidential administration, suggested that Ukraine will be divided between Poland and Russia. In the Russian part, the corresponding south-east of Ukraine, Moscow would ban the Ukrainian language and culture. Russian-occupied northern part of Ukraine, which corresponds to the Kyiv, Sumy and Chernihiv regions, will be transformed into agricultural heartland, devoid of industry and the armed forces. "The excess population" will be deported to the Far East of Russia.

Unfortunately, says Khazin, there may be "a few million people, who can not be transformed." What Russia should do with them? His answer: "They have to be partially ejected."

Particularly frightening in these statements is a prosaic manner in which they were made. The massacres, aerial bombing, ethnic cleansing and genocide are, apparently, quite respectable versions.

But they are not unique. Russian fascists Vladimir Zhirinovsky and Alexander Dugin, has long been equally speak the language of extremism.

Zhirinovsky called for the "complete destruction" of the Baltic States and Poland. Philosopher Dugin has always supported imperialism and war. Putin himself is also involved in its policy of intimidation saber rattling.

At the very least, a recent comment in Moscow shows the hardness of the Russian political culture. Like other Fascist states such as Nazi Germany, rape, murder and destruction are the norm and routine, quite respectable gentlemen can now consider genocide as an option is quite respectable for the Kremlin policy. It is as if a democratic government took over the work of man, which when taken in his speech incited hatred.

But most of all concerned about the possibility that these talking heads do not just engage in idle speculation and what-if scenarios, where they emphasize the specifics - what the Ukrainian cities and some Ukrainian region they target - suggest that this time they have it in mind . This time, they really can recommend to the Kremlin to take part in an all-out war against Ukraine.

This is not the first time nekremlevskie speakers predicted the Kremlin's policies for its comments. USSR practiced this technique on a regular basis, via affiliated with the government with the support of the political analysts of government institutions alluding regular testing and public opinion is a direct and indirect way, Aesop language requires Kremlin logic skills to decipher and understand it correctly. Under former president Boris Yeltsin, when Russia was still a democracy, politicians and analysts may declare themselves openly. When Putin's regime, indirect ways to influence public opinion and testing back into fashion. And for good reason: Putin benevolent dictator-impostor, should always and everywhere appear a man of peace. He can threaten and "growl", but talk about the genocide, total war and mass killings left his subordinates.

Amazingly, only Ishchenko, Ukrainian traitor who knows Ukraine, truly understands that the invasion would not be a cakewalk, and that Russian troops will suffer heavy losses. Contrasting, Solovyov and Coffman accept as "fact" that the armed forces of Ukraine will not fight.

Their short-sightedness is amazing, if only because the Ukrainian army to the last fights against Russia and its militants in the eastern Donbass. With only 6,000 people in full combat readiness at the beginning of 2014, when Russia invaded Crimea and the Donbass, Ukraine currently has about 100,000 soldiers experienced, competent and experienced officer corps, and more modern weapons. Moreover, the population has become more patriotic and anti-Russian, and will fight. Russian invasion is likely to succeed, since the use of Russian aircraft can lead to devastating effect, but subsequent occupation would be extremely costly.

Will Russia be able to pull such a war, even when she was dragged into Syria? Maybe. But the costs will be enormous, not only for the Ukrainians, who are dying in hundreds of thousands, but also for the Russian, who will also be hundreds of thousands die.

Based on several evaluations of American experts, it is reasonable to conclude that Russia will need to pass to the following levels for the occupation. To occupy the Donetsk and Lugansk region alone, Russia will have to apply somewhere around 26702 and 133514 troops. A "land bridge" from the Crimea to Transnistria would mean the occupation of Kherson, Mykolaiv and Odessa regions - which will require about 46 497 and 92 994 soldiers. The occupation of the seven south-eastern regions would require 118,536 troops (26,702 for the Donetsk and Lugansk regions and 91,834 for the rest) and 317,182 soldiers (133,514 for the Donetsk and Lugansk regions and 183 668 for the rest). If Russia decides to conquer the whole of Ukraine, it will require an additional 548,587 troops - or a total of 667,123 to 865,769 soldiers. Only one of Kyiv and Kyiv region will require alone 90,676 occupation troops.

Will Russia be able to pull such a war, even when she was dragged into Syria?

Maybe. But the costs will be enormous, not only for the Ukrainians, who are dying in hundreds of thousands, but also for the Russian, who will also be hundreds of thousands die.

The prospects of such huge losses will constrain rational leaders. whether they will keep Putin in view of its own contribution to the brutalization of Russian culture and the possible agreement on Donald Trump Russian intervention in the near abroad? The answer is not necessarily a "no", that should be a cause for concern for the entire world.

segodnya.ua , In Russian / На русском


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